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Monday, June 16, 2008

Fundamentals vs. Sentiments

Fundamentals vs. Sentiments

Learn and believe in company's fundamentals. A strong company will ultimately present you with hefty profits in the long-term. You must be aware that in the short term, market moves as per factors that affect market sentiments than factors that influence organisations long-term prospects and performance.

Core strength and long successful performance of a business is what superior fundamentals basically mean. There is no doubt that fundamentals will dictate your stocks performance in the long-term but in the short term sentiments have an equal sway in the market.

Understand that fundamentals alone does not define the day to day performance of a company's stock. It is also characterized by the markets sentiments towards that particular company's business. This is drawn from the news and events around that company's business and various other complex regional and global economic, political factors. Some of these news and events will have a true reflection on an organisations business while others would be just weak factors which only temporarily affect market gains and losses without any true affect on the long-term market performance.

Defining the Fundamentals and Sentiments:

Fundamentals are dictated by the economic well-being of a company such as revenue, earnings, assets, liabilities and growth. These factors are used to determine the worth of an investment. Fundamentals are those factors that are tied to the business. Factors that influence business fundamentals in another angle can be also called as profits, management performance, product line, sector, future growth, and cash flow etc. A company which is fundamentally strong is a company that can be trusted to perform, can bring great benefits to its share holders in the long-term.

Sentiments are those things that cause markets to go down or up. The difference is that sentiments can move the market without any fundamental or qualitative change in the business or its prospects. Sentiments normally is a response to news events. It can be a sentiment affecting a particular business, for example policy of relaxation of sugar export by the Govt. for sugar business and one that affects the whole of the market like a change of Govt.

Only if that news or event progresses in such a way that it goes on to truly affect the performance of a business or a sector, we can say that, particular sentiment did in fact have an affect on the stock performance.

learn to discern the mind of the market:

Hundreds of factors can be classified as those things that affect market sentiments. When you see share prices moving up or down, it may be due to the news coming out in favour or against a particular business. This does not mean that the particular business have suddenly improved or lost business.

Growth of the markets are also tied to the economic growth in the country. As far as Indian economy is considered it is on a path of phenomenal growth and that continues to be good news for a strong capital market. Profits of any company is tied to the economic growth where the profits rise and fall according to how economy swings.

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